Paraguay
Identifiable Deep Latent Variable Models for MNAR Data
Xie, Huiming, Xue, Fei, Wang, Xiao
Missing data is a ubiquitous challenge in data analysis, often leading to biased and inaccurate results. Traditional imputation methods usually assume that the missingness mechanism is missing-at-random (MAR), where the missingness is independent of the missing values themselves. This assumption is frequently violated in real-world scenarios, prompted by recent advances in imputation methods using deep learning to address this challenge. However, these methods neglect the crucial issue of nonparametric identifiability in missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data, which can lead to biased and unreliable results. This paper seeks to bridge this gap by proposing a novel framework based on deep latent variable models for MNAR data. Building on the assumption of conditional no self-censoring given latent variables, we establish the identifiability of the data distribution. This crucial theoretical result guarantees the feasibility of our approach. To effectively estimate unknown parameters, we develop an efficient algorithm utilizing importance-weighted autoencoders. We demonstrate, both theoretically and empirically, that our estimation process accurately recovers the ground-truth joint distribution under specific regularity conditions. Extensive simulation studies and real-world data experiments showcase the advantages of our proposed method compared to various classical and state-of-the-art approaches to missing data imputation.
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On the Number of Conditional Independence Tests in Constraint-based Causal Discovery
Monés, Marc Franquesa, Zhang, Jiaqi, Uhler, Caroline
Learning causal relations from observational data is a fundamental problem with wide-ranging applications across many fields. Constraint-based methods infer the underlying causal structure by performing conditional independence tests. However, existing algorithms such as the prominent PC algorithm need to perform a large number of independence tests, which in the worst case is exponential in the maximum degree of the causal graph. Despite extensive research, it remains unclear if there exist algorithms with better complexity without additional assumptions. Here, we establish an algorithm that achieves a better complexity of $p^{\mathcal{O}(s)}$ tests, where $p$ is the number of nodes in the graph and $s$ denotes the maximum undirected clique size of the underlying essential graph. Complementing this result, we prove that any constraint-based algorithm must perform at least $2^{Ω(s)}$ conditional independence tests, establishing that our proposed algorithm achieves exponent-optimality up to a logarithmic factor in terms of the number of conditional independence tests needed. Finally, we validate our theoretical findings through simulations, on semi-synthetic gene-expression data, and real-world data, demonstrating the efficiency of our algorithm compared to existing methods in terms of number of conditional independence tests needed.
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Scaling Sign Language Translation
Sign language translation (SL T) addresses the problem of translating information from a sign language in video to a spoken language in text. Existing studies, while showing progress, are often limited to narrow domains and/or few sign languages and struggle with open-domain tasks. In this paper, we push forward the frontier of SL T by scaling pretraining data, model size, and number of translation directions. We perform large-scale SL T pretraining on different data including 1) noisy multilingual Y ouTube SL T data, 2) parallel text corpora, and 3) SL T data augmented by translating video captions to other languages with off-the-shelf machine translation models. We unify different pretraining tasks with task-specific prompts under the encoder-decoder architecture, and initialize the SL T model with pretrained (m/By)T5 models across model sizes. SL T pretraining results on How2Sign and FLEURS-ASL#0 (ASL to 42 spoken languages) demonstrate the significance of data/model scaling and cross-lingual cross-modal transfer, as well as the feasibility of zero-shot SL T. We finetune the pretrained SL T models on 5 downstream open-domain SL T benchmarks covering 5 sign languages. Experiments show substantial quality improvements over the vanilla baselines, surpassing the previous state-of-the-art (SOT A) by wide margins.
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